With Angela Merkel going candidates fail to inspire German voters
BERLIN (AP) â" Itâs not that politics bore him; quite the opposite. But Christoph Gillitzer is stumped by whom to vote for in Germanyâs federal election next month.
The retired engineer says he usually backs the underdog, yet the choices on offer Sept. 26 donât have him convinced.
âItâs really difficult this time,â he said on a dreary Berlin morning this week.
Like Gillitzer, a large chunk of the German electorate remains undecided going into a parliamentary election that will determine who succeeds Angela Merkel as chancellor after her 16 years in office.
Recent surveys show that support for political parties has flattened out, with none forecast to receive more than a quarter of the vote.
Merkelâs center-right Union bloc and the center-left Social Democrats are neck-and-neck in the polls, closely followed by the environmentalist Greens, who are making their first bid for the chancellery.
âThis is the first time that an incumbent chancellor hasnât run again in a German election, so we have a completely new table of candidates,â Gregor Zons, a political scientist at the Heinrich Heine University Düsseldorf, said. âFor voters who have until now chosen Merkel, the situation is confusing.â
Germanyâs long-serving leader announced in 2018 that she wouldnât seek a fifth term, sparking a series of messy leadership contests that ended with her party nominating Armin Laschet, the governor of North Rhine-Westphalia state, as its top candidate.
But Laschetâs star took a dive last month when his home state was hit by deadly floods and the 60-year-old governor made a series of missteps that included laughing in the background during a somber speech by Germanyâs president. He also flip-flopped on the urgency of addressing climate change, which experts say has made disasters such as floods more likely.
The Greens saw their ratings jump in April after nominating Annalena Baerbock, 40, as the partyâs candidate for chancellor and announcing the news at a smoothly staged event that contrasted with their rivalsâ squabbling.
The bump in the polls didnât last long. Baerbockâs lack of executive experience and a flap over plagiarism in a book she wrote ended up costing her party support.
Recent polls by German public broadcasters ARD and ZDF show few voters want either Laschet or Baerbock as chancellor, boosting the previously tepid ratings of Olaf Scholz â" Germanyâs finance minister and vice chancellor â" and his Social Democratic Party.
The former Hamburg mayor and federal labor minister was once nicknamed âScholzomatâ for what critics said was a habit of frequently repeating the same phrases regardless of what question he was asked.
Lately, the 63-year-old minister has played up his long experience in government while deftly avoiding the limelight over crises such as the floods and Afghanistan, from where Germany, like other nations, has frantically tried to evacuate its citizens and allies after being surprised by the Taliban takeover.
Scholzâs main achievement at the moment âlies in not making any mistakes,â political scientist Zons said.
The Social Democrats have benefited from this cautious approach. One poll this week gave the party a small lead over the Union bloc â" its first for many years.
Stefan Wurster, a professor of policy analysis at the Technical University of Munich, cautioned that the candidatesâ personal ratings remain historically low, with a sizeable chunk of the electorate still opting for ânone of the above.â
âMany people donât decide who to vote for until they reach the voting booth,â he added.
Gillitzer, the retired engineer, remains undecided.
âScholz cuts the best figure, but he doesnât come across as entirely clean either,â he said, citing the finance ministerâs unclear role in two major financial scandals.
Merkel has taken a back seat in the Union blocâs election campaign, and its billboards are devoid of the German leaderâs familiar face this year.
âPredecessors who are ending their political work should hold back â" that is my position, my firm conviction,â she said in a rare appearance as her party opened its official campaign last weekend.
Even the partyâs worst result under her chancellorship â" 32.9% of the vote in 2017 â" appears a long shot at the moment.
Asked about the Unionâs poor ratings Tuesday, Merkel, a veteran campaigner, offered little wisdom for how her would-be successor can take the reins of Europeâs biggest economy.
âWe will work every day to get a good election result and not look every day at the polls,â she said.
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Geir Moulson contributed to this report.
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